Forum

GLOBAL STATISTICAL UPDATE – XBMA Quarterly Review for Third Quarter 2016

Executive Summary/Highlights:

  • Global M&A volume in Q3 totaled approximately US$800 billion, approximately 10% lower than Q2, and over 10% higher than Q1.
  • At its current rate, global M&A volume for 2016 is on pace to reach US$3.2 trillion, approximately the level reached in 2014 but considerably lower than the record levels of 2015.
  • Q3 saw a number of blockbuster deals, including three of the four largest deals in 2016 —the Bayer/Monsanto, Enbridge/Spectra and SoftBank/ARM transactions — all of which were cross-border transactions.
  • Cross-border M&A activity accounted for 43% of global deal volume in Q3, up substantially from 31% in Q2. Four of the 10 largest deals in Q3 were cross-border transactions.
  • European and Chinese M&A activity each accounted for just under 20% of Q3 deal volume, up slightly relative to Q2 and higher than overall levels from 2011-2015.
  • Deals involving U.S. targets accounted for less than 40% of the quarter’s deal volume, below the 50% (or greater) level that has recently prevailed.
  • Global M&A — including large cross-border transactions — is being driven by consolidation in several sectors, search for scale (particularly in new markets), and low-cost acquisition financing.  The slower pace relative to 2015 might be attributable to political uncertainty arising from the U.S. election, the near-term possibility of U.S. interest rate increases from their historical lows, and uncertainty about the economic impact of Brexit on the U.K. and the European Union.

Click here to see the Review.